The UK-EU relationship must be viewed through the lens of the battle for the world’s operating system. There are three operating systems in the world. The first is a competition on the merits system where countries are free to engage in regulatory competition but inter-operate on the basis of mutual recognition and equivalence. This historically […]
Britain is looking for the effects of artificial intelligence in all the obvious places: redundancies, vacancies and unemployment numbers. So far, there is little evidence of dramatic change in overall headcount. The Office for National Statistics reports that most British businesses using AI have not changed the size of their workforce, even as AI adoption […]
A year ago I ended the Growth Commission’s annual Growth Budget with the prediction that if the then Chancellor Rachel Reeves continued with her policy of tax and spend, she – or more likely her successor – would be back in a year’s time asking for more. So the Government can’t say that they weren’t […]
Why haven’t we grown in the last decade? We are experiencing the longest spell of workers experiencing no average wage growth in real terms for well over a century – ‘the longest in history since consistent wage records exist, dating back to Victorian times,’ as a paper in the Oxford Review of Economic Policy shows. […]
This week, Nimby Watch is in Vauxhall, where people are up in arms about a proposed new high-rise… Alright then, Vauxhall. According to my notes, we’re in a nondescript, marshy village near London, named for Faulke’s (or Fox’s) Hall, though not really known by that until the Pleasure Gardens opened in 1740. I mean, you’re […]
For most of the post-war period, each generation in Britain could reasonably expect to be materially better off than the last. Since the financial crisis, that has changed. Productivity growth has been exceptionally weak and improvements in living standards have stagnated. This was the starting point for ‘Boosting Britain: A blueprint for radical financial and […]
A generation ago, when Asia’s leading tiger economies were places like South Korea or Singapore, India was the region’s teenage disappointment. Everyone agreed it had huge potential but it seemed stuck in life’s slow lane. The ‘Hindu rate of growth’ was a byword for handwringing and frustration, rather than the awe and admiration we take […]
Nobody ever built a wind farm with wind. An energy transition is always a project that uses its current energy source to build its replacement while keeping everyone fed and warm. Every turbine, panel, pylon and battery is made, moved, installed and replaced with the help of cheap oil. The question under the plan for […]
In the graphic novel ‘Ministry of Space’, an alternate history is imagined whereby Great Britain nabs the Nazi rocket scientists before the US or USSR. Churchill becomes, in addition to his other (real) accolades and achievements, the father of the British space programme that sees us win the space race. There is a particularly poignant […]
Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, and Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, have called for increased regulation of AI to slow down the pace of development. They warn in apocalyptic terms of the dangers their own technology poses. After Jacob Coxon, a researcher, resigned from Anthropic, stating that he could no longer justify working on AI […]
A century ago you had to be rich to get any kind of choice over your clothes. And if you weren’t in the upper echelons of society you could forget going on a foreign holiday. Today, mass production ensures there is an abundance of clothes to choose from at all budgets, and cheap flights have […]
The UK only has 13 days worth of natural gas storage capacity, and it’s about to be cut in half. Britain needs gas storage now, and it will need it as North Sea extraction declines. Otherwise, we’re badly exposed to another energy crisis. Centrica has seemingly given us an easy out by offering to regenerate […]
We live in an age of rapid economic change. New technologies are having an impact on the world that was unthinkable a generation ago; and industries are more mobile than ever, meaning that supply chains get reshaped, new centres of growth emerge and we see the resulting shifts in the balance of economic power. Yet […]
When you drive through the potholes and your suspension gives out, or when you sit fuming at temporary traffic lights because of roadworks, it’s for a reason. It’s because the cost to you in delays and disruption doesn’t figure much in the council’s budgeting or the contractors’ work schedules. The familiar ‘I don’t give a […]
Britain’s political class loves to talk about ‘reforming welfare’, but everyone knows the limits of that ambition. Voter Welfare – the £333.7 billion the state is forecast to transfer from taxpayers to households in 2025–26 – is politically untouchable. A population brought up on free cake is unlikely to vote for the plate being removed, […]
So, this week financial markets started pricing four or even five Bank of England rate rises over the next year. On the evidence in front of me today, that is lunacy. In fact, I called it rubbish on GB News yesterday lunchtime. Against that backdrop, the Federal Reserve raised its key interest rate by 25 […]
Did you ever hear the one about the leaders of Sinn Fein, Plaid Cymru and the Scottish National Party holding a press conference? It sounds like the beginning of a bad joke, but yesterday, the UK’s foremost regional separatists came together in Cardiff to pressure Andy Burnham into facilitating the dissolution of the nation. Michelle […]
This week saw a south-Atlantic gale of outrage after Argentina’s chainsaw-wielding President Javier Milei repeated his country’s entirely bogus claim to the Falkland Islands, with President Donald Trump twisting the knife by saying the USA’s view of the issue was ‘under review’. It came just weeks after Argentina’s footballers brandished a ‘Malvinas’ banner at the […]
The Victorian economist William Stanley Jevons was clearly a worrier. When, in 1863, the Tyneside arms-maker Sir William Armstrong calculated that Britain’s coal would run out in 212 years, Jevons checked the sums. Armstrong had assumed the country’s appetite for coal grew by the same tonnage every year. But it actually grew by the same […]
The verdict is clear. The Right has woken up to the innate statism associated with a statutory Net Zero target. Reform UK reject it outright, and the Conservatives have pledged to scrap the 2050 deadline and the 2008 Climate Change Act by which net-zero targets are enforced. Both accept the approach is a millstone around […]
Late on August 28, trade talks between Canada and the United States broke down, an escalation in the trade war that the Trump administration began with Canada in early 2025. This escalation isn’t because Canadians favour tariffs as much as the US president, but because they refuse to quietly acquiesce to American demands. It might […]
This morning, John Healey delivered his first major speech as Chancellor. He set out his vision for the economy and, while it was encouraging to hear his determination to drive growth and solve the NEET crisis, all while claiming to be committed to fiscal discipline, it was quite light on detail. However, one specific point […]
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