Ukraine

Ukraine

Ukraine is losing this war – the west needs to massively step up its military aid

For a few weeks I’ve been in Kyiv, partly as a visiting fellow at leading Ukrainian thinktank the Transatlantic Dialogue Center. Kyiv is an astonishingly elegant and beautiful city; a premier league European capital. The regular air raid warnings delivered on your phone, as well as by the baleful second world war-style sirens, are largely ignored […]

Ukraine

More Western countries must follow Britain’s lead – Ukraine’s survival depends on it

While the UK was going through its Jubilee jubilation, we Ukrainians have now marked 100 days in our war of existence against Putin’s Russia. The enemy continues to make advances in the east and the south of the country, and spiteful irregular missiles are still hitting Kyiv – including one in the early hours of […]

Ukraine

Europe is in an energy conflict with Russia – it’s time policymakers realised that

Last week the EU published it’s €300bn REPowerEU plan, which aims to simultaneously reduce continental carbon emissions and wean Europe off Russian hydrocarbons by 2027. This followed a major escalation of Europe and Russia’s stand-off earlier this month when Moscow shut off gas supplies to Poland and Bulgaria, citing disputes over rouble payments. These moves […]

Ukraine

Ukraine: Nato and the US aim to destroy the Russian military – it looks as if they may have the means to do it

Nothing like a coherent strategy emerged from 20 years of Nato’s war in Afghanistan; at best there were long lists of aspirations with no clear objectives or assessments of the resources needed to achieve them. But, two months after the Russian invasion, it looks very much as if the US and Nato are beginning to […]

Ukraine

Russia: programme of ‘patriotic education’ aims to create next generation of Putin faithful

As Russia shifts the focus of its ‘special military operation’ in Ukraine to the Donbas region, there seems no end in sight to the fighting. Casualties on both sides are mounting. While Ukraine is able to call on its citizens to help defend their homeland from Russian aggression, Moscow’s ability to rally and maintain support […]

Ukraine

What is behind Germany’s shameful reluctance to help Ukraine?

Since Russia invaded Ukraine at the end of February, most of Europe has rallied round the Zelensky government, with a combination of sanctions, military support and help resettling millions of refugees. The response of Germany’s SDP-led government, however, has been at best ambivalent, if not outright obstructive. Few countries have done more to facilitate Putin’s […]

Ukraine

Thank goodness Labour is rid of Corbyn’s deeply misguided ‘anti-war’ politics

Jeremy Corbyn was a disastrous Labour leader and one reason was his inability to hide his true beliefs. Asked on Times Radio yesterday by John Pienaar whether he admired the Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelensky, Corbyn refrained from giving the obvious answer. Instead, he proffered the non sequitur that he had ‘never met him’. To the […]

Ukraine

We cannot let Putin use British citizens as diplomatic pawns

The sight of two British nationals being paraded on Russian state TV marks a new front in the propaganda war the Kremlin has long waged against the West. Shaun Pinner and Aiden Aslin, both of whom were serving in the Ukrainian army when they were captured by Russian forces, appeared on the Rossiya 24 channel […]

Ukraine

Weekly Briefing: Leading by example?

A week that began with the purest of horrors in the towns north of Kyiv has ended on a more optimistic note, with Boris Johnson’s surprise appearance in Kyiv for a show of solidarity with Volodymyr Zelensky. Earlier this week I wrote that Ukraine needs fewer hashtags and illuminated buildings and more military aid. On reflection, that was probably a bit […]

Ukraine

Sanctions are no good while Germany still buys Russian energy

There have been few spectacles more nauseating in recent years than the self-congratulatory complacency of Western leaders in response to Ukraine. And with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz due in London tomorrow, we are going to witness this again in bucketloads. It is certainly true that the imposition of sanctions – unquestionably the right thing to […]

Ukraine

Once again, the ‘United Ireland’ fantasy falls apart in the face of hard data

From media coverage of Northern Ireland, you might get the impression that the province’s people are engaged daily in a ‘conversation’ about its role in a future all-Ireland state. A small but dedicated group of nationalist campaigners has used the aftermath of Brexit to claim that there is overwhelming demand for a ‘border poll’ on […]

Ukraine

Tsar Wars: why Russian support for Putin isn’t just about media manipulation

A friend of mine who works at a major think-tank in Moscow went recently to a business conference at a remote town in eastern Siberia. When I asked him about the mood among the people he met there concerning the war in Ukraine, he said, ‘People were drinking ‘to our Victory’ and dreaming of capturing […]

Ukraine

Russia’s massacre of Ukrainian civilians is appalling, but not surprising

Where does one begin? Mass graves, dead bodies strewn across the street, some discovered with gunshot wounds to the head, others with signs of rape and torture. You don’t need many adjectives to convey the horror of what has happened in the towns north of Kyiv; simply listing what the Russian army left behind does […]

Ukraine

Ukraine: are reports of Russian troops mutinying and deserting true? It’s happened before

Reports have emerged in recent days that Russian troops in Ukraine, stalled in their advance and suffering numerous military setbacks, have sabotaged their own equipment, refused to fight and carry out orders, and even, in one report, run over their own commander. Nato estimates that as many as 15,000 Russian soldiers may have been killed […]

Economics

Weekly Briefing: A Falk in the road?

Forty years ago this weekend an embattled Prime Minister was drawn into a foreign conflict that would dramatically change the course of her premiership. For Margaret Thatcher, the Falklands War turned the ‘Iron Lady’ from a somewhat ironic sobriquet to a label that defined her time at Number 10. It’s no exaggeration to say the […]

Ukraine

Ukraine will not be like Korea – dogged resistance will turn it into Putin’s ‘bleeding ulcer’

The Russian army reached a ‘point of culmination’ on around March 20. This meant that with the available supplies and reserves, it could make no further significant advances. Local actions, such as its effort to take Mariupol, continue. But on all major fronts, Russia’s advance has been largely held by ferocious and competent Ukrainian resistance. Russia […]

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