Senator Marco Rubio didn’t just lose his backyard of Florida to Donald Trump – he was smashed. The billionaire hot favourite to be the GOP nominee won 45.8% of the vote* – once again busting the myth that there was a low ceiling over his support and he couldn’t win more than 30-something percent of the Republican […]
Donald Trump has spectacularly defied the predictions of many American political commentators that he would crash and burn as a joke candidate in this primary cycle. Barring a loss in both Florida and Ohio today and a radical change of momentum against him, The Donald remains on course to seize the Republican nomination. The only question that […]
Yesterday, as Syria’s bloody conflict marked its fifth horrific year and shortly before President Vladimir Putin announced the withdrawal of some Russian troops from the country, we asked members of the YouGov First Verdict panel to identify who was responsible for initiating the tragic loss of an estimated 500,000 lives and, secondly, who had most responsibility for […]
Neither the Trump fans nor the Hillary Clinton fans want to hear it, but the two politicians have more in common than either of the presidential candidates wants to acknowledge. He gave money to her foundation and her campaigns. Federal campaign finance records indicate that Donald Trump gave at least seven separate campaign contributions to […]
Last week, two of the most popular liberal politicians in the world met together in Washington DC and President Obama hosted a White House state dinner in honour of the second Trudeau to be prime minister of Canada. Earlier that day, Thursday, we asked the YouGov panel of US voters to indicate how much they agreed with […]
Large crowds attended two Trump for President rallies in Ohio on Saturday. There was no indication that the violence that had led an event in Chicago on Friday night to be cancelled, had deterred an appreciable number from rallying to hear what the Republican frontrunner had to say. It is, of course, not necessary to attend a Trump […]
Donald Trump had a better day yesterday in the primary contest than he had at the weekend and the chances of him winning the Republican nomination outright have risen again – especially because we are now approaching the winner-takes-all states where his 35% to 40% or so vote could well give him lots of 100% sweeps of […]
Invest more in schools, science and infrastructure. Change trade and immigration policies so that American workers are better protected from unfair competition. Reduce the power of the big banks and Wall Street. Among YouGov’s First Verdict panel, those three interventions are the most supported policy actions for ensuring that the average American family enjoys prosperity in […]
“I don’t think Donald Trump is doomsday,” says Mark Cunningham. “All the Hilter, fascist, authoritarian talk is wildly over the top.” What a relief and a pleasure to interview Cunningham, Editorial Page Editor of the New York Post. You see, unlike just about every other conservative Republican at the moment, Cunningham isn’t freaking out about […]
If Republicans are to make a last stand to take down the seemingly insurmountable Trump juggernaut, it’s going to take a major mental reset on the part of his competition. Publications of all political bents produced plans to gather together and fight the Trump fervor, but what may be more baffling than the steadfast support […]
The CPAC conference is an alien spectacle for a Brit. Unlike our own sterile, lobbyist-filled Autumn borefests, the four-day gathering is packed with actual activists. Sessions discuss political, economic and philosophical ideas. In political speeches, the elected talk to the audience, rather than aiming for a 10-second news soundbite. In many ways, it’s pretty refreshing. […]
Remember the “forgotten man”. He is the man who works, votes, “generally prays” and “always pays”. He was made famous by the economist William Graham Sumner years ago and more recently by my wife, Amity Shlaes, in her book The Forgotten Man. And he is about to emerge at the center of the coming campaign, […]
If the United Kingdom did become the 51st state of the United States of America it would be VERY good news for the Democrats. 67% of Brits surveyed by YouGov would vote for either Hillary Clinton (50%) or the Democratic Socialist Senator from Vermont, Bernie Sanders (17%) – in this year’s presidential race. Mrs Clinton would […]
Yesterday was Super Tuesday and – as expected – Donald Trump took another big step towards becoming the Republican nominee. He now has 319 delegates, Ted Cruz has 226, Marco Rubio has 110 and John Kasich has 25. 1,237 is the winning target. We asked the YouGovUSA First Verdict panel to identify the Republican with […]
Occasionally, an article comes along that is so perceptive, that has such an air of rightness about it, that reading it is like hearing one of those Mozart melodies that seems to have been plucked fully formed from the ether rather than constructed by human endeavour. Such is Robert Kagan’s column in the Washington Post, […]
“Two weeks from tonight right here in Florida we are going to send a message. The presidency of the United States will never be held by a con artist.” This was the defiant, never-say-die rhetoric of Senator Marco Rubio last night in Miami. Wishful thinking, it seems, though. The news Tuesday night wasn’t good for […]
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